2022 US Open odds, picks: Jon Rahm, Phil Mickelson predictions from golf model that nailed eight majors

As a player who’s already in the World Golf Hall of Fame with 45 PGA Tour wins under his belt, there’s only one accolade missing from Phil Mickelson’s resume. The six-time major champion has never finished atop the leaderboard in 30 attempts at the US Open. He has six runners-up in the tournament, the most all-time, but is of little consolation to Lefty. He’ll get another opportunity at the 2022 US Open, which begins on Thursday. To become the sixth golfer of the modern era to complete the grand slam, Mickelson will have to best a course he’s not competed at since the 1999 Ryder Cup. The US Open 2022 will be held at the Country Club in Brookline, Mass., and the 51-year-old is a massive 150-1 long shot to win, per Caesars Sportsbook.

Rory McIlroy tops the latest 2022 US Open odds at 10-1, while other 2022 US Open contenders include Scottie Scheffler (12-1), Justin Thomas (12-1), Jon Rahm (12-1) and Jordan Spieth (20- 1). Before locking in your 2022 US Open picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS by Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour summarized in June of 2020. In fact, it’s up over $9,500 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model included Justin Thomas in his best bets to win the 2022 PGA Championship. That bet hit at +1600, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned almost $800. At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s model was all over Scottie Scheffler’s first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.

In addition, McClure’s best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Jon Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 US Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.

This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2022 US Open is approaching, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Model’s top 2022 US Open predictions

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the US Open 2022: Six-time major champion Phil Mickelson, one of the golfers who has defected the PGA Tour for LIV Golf, struggles mightily and finishes well outside the top 50. He’s a risk to miss the cut, making him a poor value for in your 2022 US Open bets at 150-1. He’s also a golfer to consider fading in 2022 US Open props and head-to-head matchups.

Mickelson won the 2021 PGA Championship to become the oldest major champion in golf history last season, and the lefty is still chasing a US Open victory to complete his career grand slam. However, he has not been particularly competitive and his connection with the LIV Golf series has been a major distraction for months now. Mickelson has officially resigned from the PGA Tour to play on the Saudi-backed tour and has slipped all the way to No. 77 in the Official World Golf Ranking. He missed the cut in his final two appearances at PGA Tour events and hasn’t finished in the top 45 in his last six US Open starts.

On the other hand, the model has also examined Rahm’s chances to repeat as champion at the 2022 US Open. Rahm has just one victory this season, which came at the Mexico Open, his first win since winning last year’s US Open. But over his past twelve PGA Tour events, half of them resulted in a top-10 finish, so the Spaniard is usually always competitive.

Rahm is an elite ball-striker, ranking among the top five in driving distance and greens in regulation percentage. His short game has dipped this year, as he ranks outside the top 150 in strokes gained around the green. His ability to rectify those short game issues in Brookline could be the determining factor as to whether he becomes the eighth repeat US Open champion.

How to make 2022 US Open picks

The model is targeting five golfers with odds of 22-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. He’s also backing a triple-digit underdog in his best bets. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s 2022 US Open picks here.

Who will win the 2022 US Open, which long shots will stun the golfing world, and where will Jon Rahm finish? Check out the latest 2022 US Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected US Open 2022 leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed eight golf majors and is up over $9,500 since the restart.

2022 US Open odds, field

Rory McIlroy 10-1
Justin Thomas 12-1
Scottie Scheffler 12-1
Jon Rahm 12-1
Cameron Smith 14-1
Jordan Spieth 20-1
Colin Morikawa 22-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 22-1
Patrick Cantlay 22-1
Xander Schauffele 22-1
Will Zalatoris 22-1
Shane Lowry 25-1
Viktor Hovland 25-1
Sam Burns 25-1
Joaquin Niemann 25-1
Tony Finau 30-1
Brooks Koepka 30-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Cameron Young 35-1
Billy Horschel 40-1
Daniel Berger 40-1
Max Homa 40-1
Dustin Johnson 40-1
Sungjae Im 40-1
Tommy Fleetwood 40-1
Corey Conners 50-1
Myth Pereira 50-1
Davis Riley 50-1
Justin Rose 60-1
Abraham Ancer 60-1
Louis Oosthuizen 65-1
Tyrrell Hatton 65-1
Webb Simpson 70-1
Keegan Bradley 70-1
Talor Gooch 80-1
Aaron Wise 80-1
Harold Varner 80-1
Patrick Reed 80-1
Bryson DeChambeau 80-1
Gary Woodland 80-1
Adam Scott 100-1
Sergio Garcia 100-1
Seamus Power 100-1
Jason Kokrak 100-1
Si-Woo Kim 100-1
Marc Leishman 125-1
Russell Henley 125-1
Sebastian Munoz 125-1
Tom Hoge 125-1
Brian Harman 150-1
Phil Mickelson 150-1
Kevin Na 150-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 150-1
Francesco Molinari 150-1
Thomas Pieters 150-1
Alex Noren 150-1
Luke List 150-1
Stewart Cink 150-1
Sam Horsfield 200-1
Lucas Herbert 200-1
Cameron Tringale 200-1
Lanto Griffin 200-1
Min Woo Lee 200-1
Erik Van Rooyen 200-1
Scott Stallings 200-1
Joel Dahmen 200-1
Patrick Rodgers 200-1
Sepp Straka 200-1
Kevin Kisner 200-1
Adri Arnaus 200-1
Victor Perez 200-1
Harris English 200-1
Ryan Fox 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
Denny McCarthy 200-1
Branden Grace 200-1
Wyndham Clark 200-1
Guido Migliozzi 200-1
Matthew Nesmith 250-1
Kurt Kitayama 250-1
Troy Merritt 250-1
Beau Hossler 250-1
Joohyung Kim 250-1
Kalle Samooja 250-1
Shaun Norris 300-1
Sean Crocker 300-1
Joseph Bramlett 300-1
Wil Besseling 300-1
Danny Lee 300-1
Thorbjorn Olesen 300-1
Nick Taylor 300-1
Kevin Chappell 300-1
MJ Daffue 300-1
Andrew Putnam 400-1
Richard Mansell 400-1
Jinichiro Kozuma 400-1
Adam Schenk 400-1
Richard Bland 400-1
Tomoyasu Sugiyama 400-1
Taylor Montgomery 400-1
Yannik Paul 400-1
Rikuya Hoshino 400-1
Keita Nakajima 400-1
Marcel Schneider 400-1
Erik Barnes 400-1
Andrew Novak 400-1
Harry Hall 500-1
Bo Hoag 500-1
Jonas Blixt 500-1
Roger Sloan 500-1
Ben Silverman 500-1
Grayson Murray 500-1
Sam Bennett 500-1
Sebastian Soderberg 500-1
Brian Stuard 500-1
Hayden Buckley 500-1
David Lingmerth 500-1
Jim Furyk 500-1
Satoshi Kodaira 500-1
Callum Tarren 500-1
Travis Vick 500-1
Sam Stevens 500-1
Todd Sinnott 750-1
Chan Kim 750-1
Stewart Hagestad 750-1
Jediah Morgan 750-1
Austin Greaser 750-1
Chase Seiffert 750-1
Michael Thorbjornsen 750-1
Sean Jacklin 750-1
Fred Biondi 750-1
Davis Shore 750-1
William Mouw 750-1
Daijiro Izumida 750-1
James Piot 750-1
Adrien Dumont de Cahssart 750-1
Keith Greene 1000-1
Isaiah Salinda 1000-1
Jesse Mueller 1000-1
Chris Gotterup 1000-1
Ryan Gerard 1000-1
Ben Lorenz 1000-1
Luke Gannon 1000-1
Brady Calkins 1000-1
Nick Dunlap 1000-1
Maxwell Moldovan 1000-1
Chris Naegel 1000-1
Charles Reiter 1000-1
Matt McCarty 1000-1
Laird Shepherd 1000-1
Andrew Beckler 1000-1
Fran Quinn 1000-1
Brandon Matthews 1000-1
Caleb Manuel 1000-1

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