2022 US Open odds: Surprising PGA picks, golf predictions by proven model that nailed the Masters

With Tiger Woods withdrawing from the 2022 US Open field, Brooks Koepka will be the only multi-time champion in contention. Numerous other former champions could join him with victory, including Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, Jordan Spieth and Rory McIlroy. There are 22 golfers who have won at least two US Opens, as the Masters (17) is the only major with fewer multi-time winners. Will one of that foursome add to the list, or will a new name like Cameron Smith, Patrick Cantlay or Will Zalatoris have his name engraved on the US Open 2022 trophy? The Country Club in Brookline, Mass., will host the 2022 US Open, which begins on Thursday with the first 2022 US Open tee times.

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is looking to add his name to the list of US Open champions and is 12-1 to win, according to Caesars Sportsbook. Other favorites in the latest 2022 US Open odds include Rahm (12-1), McIlroy (10-1), and Justin Thomas (12-1). Before locking in your 2022 US Open picks, be sure to see the PGA Tour predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven golf model.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS by Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour summarized in June of 2020. In fact, it’s up over $9,500 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model included Justin Thomas in his best bets to win the 2022 PGA Championship. That bet hit at +1600, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned almost $800. At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s model was all over Scottie Scheffler’s first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.

In addition, McClure’s best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Jon Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 US Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.

This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2022 US Open golf tournament is approaching, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2022 US Open predictions

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the US Open 2022: Scottie Scheffler, the world’s No. 1 player and one of the top favorites, stumbles and barely cracks the top five. Scheffler has been on fire this season, producing four wins and seven top-10 finishes, highlighted by his victory at Augusta. But he’s cooled a bit the last few weeks.

He’s finished 15th or worse in his last three events and missed the cut at the PGA Championship. He also hasn’t found much success at the US Open, missing the cut twice in four tries. The model doesn’t like him at these premium odds, making him a golfer to fade in your 2022 US Open bets.

Another surprise: Viktor Hovland, a 25-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the 2022 US Open title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Hovland was the low-amateur, placing 12th, in his US Open debut in 2019 before finishing 13th in 2020. An eye injury forced him to withdraw from last year’s event, but his two top-25s at this tournament are as many as he has in all other majors combined.

The Norwegian is a high-floor golfer, as he’s missed just two cuts over the last two years. This season, he posted back-to-back victories late last year and added another three top-10 finishes in early 2022. Hovland always finds a way to remain in contention due to his exceptional long game, as he ranks fifth on tour in strokes gained approaching the green (.792). That skill will come in handy at The Country Club, which is renowned for its tight fairways and tiny greens. He has converted the fifth-most birdies per round (4.48) on tour and should continue his string of solid results at the US Open 2022.

How to make 2022 US Open picks

The model is targeting four other golfers with odds of 22-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. His best bets also include a triple-digit long underdog. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

So who will win the US Open 2022? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2022 US Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 US Open leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed eight golf majors, including this year’s Masters.

2022 US Open odds, field

Rory McIlroy 10-1
Justin Thomas 12-1
Scottie Scheffler 12-1
Jon Rahm 12-1
Cameron Smith 14-1
Jordan Spieth 20-1
Colin Morikawa 22-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 22-1
Patrick Cantlay 22-1
Xander Schauffele 22-1
Will Zalatoris 22-1
Shane Lowry 25-1
Viktor Hovland 25-1
Sam Burns 25-1
Joaquin Niemann 25-1
Tony Finau 30-1
Brooks Koepka 30-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Cameron Young 35-1
Billy Horschel 40-1
Daniel Berger 40-1
Max Homa 40-1
Dustin Johnson 40-1
Sungjae Im 40-1
Tommy Fleetwood 40-1
Corey Conners 50-1
Myth Pereira 50-1
Davis Riley 50-1
Justin Rose 60-1
Abraham Ancer 60-1
Louis Oosthuizen 65-1
Tyrrell Hatton 65-1
Webb Simpson 70-1
Keegan Bradley 70-1
Talor Gooch 80-1
Aaron Wise 80-1
Harold Varner 80-1
Patrick Reed 80-1
Bryson DeChambeau 80-1
Gary Woodland 80-1
Adam Scott 100-1
Sergio Garcia 100-1
Seamus Power 100-1
Jason Kokrak 100-1
Si-Woo Kim 100-1
Marc Leishman 125-1
Russell Henley 125-1
Sebastian Munoz 125-1
Tom Hoge 125-1
Brian Harman 150-1
Phil Mickelson 150-1
Kevin Na 150-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 150-1
Francesco Molinari 150-1
Thomas Pieters 150-1
Alex Noren 150-1
Luke List 150-1
Stewart Cink 150-1
Sam Horsfield 200-1
Lucas Herbert 200-1
Cameron Tringale 200-1
Lanto Griffin 200-1
Min Woo Lee 200-1
Erik Van Rooyen 200-1
Scott Stallings 200-1
Joel Dahmen 200-1
Patrick Rodgers 200-1
Sepp Straka 200-1
Kevin Kisner 200-1
Adri Arnaus 200-1
Victor Perez 200-1
Harris English 200-1
Ryan Fox 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
Denny McCarthy 200-1
Branden Grace 200-1
Wyndham Clark 200-1
Guido Migliozzi 200-1
Matthew Nesmith 250-1
Kurt Kitayama 250-1
Troy Merritt 250-1
Beau Hossler 250-1
Joohyung Kim 250-1
Kalle Samooja 250-1
Shaun Norris 300-1
Sean Crocker 300-1
Joseph Bramlett 300-1
Wil Besseling 300-1
Danny Lee 300-1
Thorbjorn Olesen 300-1
Nick Taylor 300-1
Kevin Chappell 300-1
MJ Daffue 300-1
Andrew Putnam 400-1
Richard Mansell 400-1
Jinichiro Kozuma 400-1
Adam Schenk 400-1
Richard Bland 400-1
Tomoyasu Sugiyama 400-1
Taylor Montgomery 400-1
Yannik Paul 400-1
Rikuya Hoshino 400-1
Keita Nakajima 400-1
Marcel Schneider 400-1
Erik Barnes 400-1
Andrew Novak 400-1
Harry Hall 500-1
Bo Hoag 500-1
Jonas Blixt 500-1
Roger Sloan 500-1
Ben Silverman 500-1
Grayson Murray 500-1
Sam Bennett 500-1
Sebastian Soderberg 500-1
Brian Stuard 500-1
Hayden Buckley 500-1
David Lingmerth 500-1
Jim Furyk 500-1
Satoshi Kodaira 500-1
Callum Tarren 500-1
Travis Vick 500-1
Sam Stevens 500-1
Todd Sinnott 750-1
Chan Kim 750-1
Stewart Hagestad 750-1
Jediah Morgan 750-1
Austin Greaser 750-1
Chase Seiffert 750-1
Michael Thorbjornsen 750-1
Sean Jacklin 750-1
Fred Biondi 750-1
Davis Shore 750-1
William Mouw 750-1
Daijiro Izumida 750-1
James Piot 750-1
Adrien Dumont de Cahssart 750-1
Keith Greene 1000-1
Isaiah Salinda 1000-1
Jesse Mueller 1000-1
Chris Gotterup 1000-1
Ryan Gerard 1000-1
Ben Lorenz 1000-1
Luke Gannon 1000-1
Brady Calkins 1000-1
Nick Dunlap 1000-1
Maxwell Moldovan 1000-1
Chris Naegel 1000-1
Charles Reiter 1000-1
Matt McCarty 1000-1
Laird Shepherd 1000-1
Andrew Beckler 1000-1
Fran Quinn 1000-1
Brandon Matthews 1000-1
Caleb Manuel 1000-1

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