8 Picks for Brooks Koepka, Jon Rahm, More

Click arrow to expand 2022 US Open odds via BetMGM

2022 US Open Odds

golfer odds
Rory McIlroy +1100
Justin Thomas +1200
Jon Rahm +1400
Scottie Scheffler +1400
Cameron Smith +2200
Patrick Cantlay +2200
Xander Schauffele +2200
Jordan Spieth +2500
Will Zalatoris +2500
Colin Morikawa +2800
Matt Fitzpatrick +2800
Sam Burns +2800
Shane Lowry +3300
Tony Finau +3300
Brooks Koepka +4000
Dustin Johnson +4000
Hideki Matsuyama +4000
Joaquin Niemann +4000
Max Homa +4000
Sungjae Im +4000
Viktor Hovland +4000
Billy Horschel +5000
Cameron Young +5000
Corey Conners +5000
Daniel Berger +5000
Tommy Fleetwood +5000
Davis Riley +6600
Justin Rose +6600
Louis Oosthuizen +6600
Myth Pereira +6600
Aaron Wise +8000
Abraham Ancer +8000
Harold Varner III +8000
Keegan Bradley +8000
Patrick Reed +8000
Tyrrell Hatton +8000
Webb Simpson +8000
Bryson DeChambeau +8000
Seamus Power +10000
Talor Gooch +10000
Adam Scott +12500
Gary Woodland +12500
Jason Kokrak +12500
Kevin Na +12500
Russell Henley +12500
Sergio Garcia +12500
Brian Harman +15000
Francesco Molinari +15000
Luke List +15000
Marc Leishman +15000
Sebastian Munoz +15000
Si Woo Kim +15000
Tom Hoge +15000
Adam Hadwin +15000
Alex Noren +20000
KH Lee +20000
Phil Mickelson +20000
Thomas Pieters +20000
Branden Grace +25000
Cameron Tringale +25000
Erik van Rooyen +25000
Harris English +25000
Kevin Kisner +25000
Lucas Herbert +25000
Ryan Fox +25000
Sepp Straka +25000
Denny McCarthy +25000
Adrian Arnaus +30000
Joel Dahmen +30000
Lanto Griffin +30000
Mackenzie Hughes +30000
Matthew NeSmith +30000
Sam Horsfield +30000
Scott Stallings +30000
Stewart Cink +30000
Victor Perez +30000
Wyndham Clark +30000
Taylor Montgomery +30000
Nick Taylor +35000
Patrick Rodgers +35000
Troy Merritt +35000
Nick Hardy +35000
Adam Schenk +40000
Andrew Novak +40000
Beau Hossler +40000
Danny Lee +40000
Kevin Chappell +40000
Marcel Schneider +40000
Richard Mansell +40000
Thorbjorn Olesen +40000
Wil Besseling +40000
MJ Daffue +40000
Sebastian Soderberg +40000
Andrew Putnam +50000
Brian Stuard +50000
Callum Tarren +50000
Guido Migliozzi +50000
Joohyung Kim +50000
Kurt Kitayama +50000
Min Woo Lee +50000
Richard Bland +50000
Rikuya Hoshino +50000
Roger Sloan +50000
Sam Stevens +50000
Satoshi Kodaira +50000
Shaun Norris +50000
Erik Barnes +50000
Joseph Bramlett +50000
David Lingmerth +50000
Bo Hoag +75000
Harry Hall +75000
Hayden Buckley +75000
Jinichiro Kozuma +75000
Kalle Samoja +75000
Keita Nakajima +75000
Sean Crocker +75000
Todd Sinnott +75000
Yannik Paul +75000
Chris Gotterup +75000
Chase Seiffert +75000
Adrien Dumont de Chassart +100000
Austin Greaser +100000
Ben Silverman +100000
Brady Calkins +100000
Brandon Matthews +100000
Chris Naegel +100000
Daijiro Izumida +100000
Fred Biondi +100000
Grayson Murray +100000
Isaiah Salinda +100000
James Piot +100000
Jesse Mueller +100000
Jim Furyk +100000
Jonas Blixt +100000
Keith Greene +100000
Laird Shepherd +100000
Luke Gannon +100000
Matt McCarty +100000
Maxwell Moldovan +100000
Michael Thorbjornsen +100000
Nicholas Dunlap +100000
Ryan Gerard +100000
Sam Bennett +100000
Sean Jacklin +100000
Stewart Hagestad +100000
Tomoyaso Sugiyama +100000
Travis Vick +100000
William Mouw +100000
Chan Kim +100000
Ben Lorenz +150000
Charles Reiter +150000
Davis Shore +150000

We’ve reached the third major of 2022. While the course is poised to be incredibly difficult and the field is stacked with the world’s best, it seems like golf itself’t been the story this week in Brookline, Mass.

With a competing tour taking shape and its players in the US Open field at The Country Club, the world’s focus is on the off-the-course issues surrounding golf. By Thursday morning, though, players will be teeing off and we’ll be in for four fantastic days of golf that will see the game’s elite players look like amateurs at times.

The US Open is known for its difficulty, and The Country Club in Brookline will be no different this week. Roughs will be penalizing, greens will be lightning fast and require absolute precision.

It’s going to be a joy to watch for golf fans everywhere.

Last week, our staff got hot, hitting three of its six picks at +450, +120 and -115 odds for the RBC Canadian Open.

Check out their detailed picks and breakdowns for golf’s third major of 2022 below.

2022 US Open Best Bets

Brooks Koepka — Miss Cut (+140)

Chris Murphy: Since I have a full card of best bets this week, I’ll go off the board a bit with a prop for the US Open.

Much of what we will hear around Brooks Koepka the rest of this week will be about his interview on Tuesday, during which he threw shade at the questions being asked and didn’t exactly take a hard stand for his future. He’ll have that looming over him in an event where you don’t need distractions to struggle.

Koepka comes in with his worst form in big events this year, having missed cuts at THE PLAYERS and Masters, which were followed by a T55 at the PGA Championship. He has certainly always stood out at the US Open, but it’s hard to look at him as the same Koepka who has two wins and two more top-four finishes in his last four appearances at this major.

Koepka’s 2022 has been riddled by injuries, and the added cloud over him won’t help this week on what is annually the toughest test in golf. This seems to be setting up for another big tournament where the weekend is played without Koepka on the course.

Jon Rahm +1600

Matt Vincenzi: The last time I can remember Jon Rahm being +1600 or better was the 2020 Memorial Tournament, which he won. You don’t often hear that a player in this price range is a “value” play, but this is absolutely one.

Despite his relative struggles this season, Rahm is still the best golfer in the world off the tee. At a US Open, long and straight is the recipe for success, and he’s as long and straight as it gets.

The Spaniard has only lost strokes off the tee in one of his past 42 measured events on TOUR. That event was his most recent start at the Memorial, which I feel comfortable labeling as an outlier.

The Country Club is going to play incredibly challenging off the tee. Rahm is simply the most reliable player off the tee in the world, and I trust him to put himself in the optimal position for his second shot more times than not.

The 27-year-old would be the first to tell you it’s been a down year relative to his expectations. But Rahm’s “down year” still places him first in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and second in Greens in Regulation Gained in his past 24 rounds.

Max Home +5000

Joshua Perry: Homa is a guy I’ll keep looking to in majors as long as he stays in this mid-tier range. He’s shown on multiple occasions the ability to play well against strong fields on some of the tougher courses.

Homa’s current form is where it needs to be. He hasn’t finished outside of the top 25 since the Masters, including a win during that run at the Wells Fargo. He has all aspects of his game in solid shape, as well, gaining strokes in every category during his last two events.

Tony Finau +2200 & Matthew Fitzpatrick +1800 (Winner Without Special — DraftKings)

Derek Farnsworth: I generally try to stay away from the alternate golf markets since they’re usually juiced up to the point of being unbettable. However, DraftKings has an interesting outright market that I have my eye on this week. It’s the winner without Justin Thomas, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler and Xander Schauffele.

Essentially, it’s a bet on who will finish the highest if we take the biggest five favorites out of the equation.

This type of bet seems perfect for both Finau and Fitzpatrick. They’re known for their ability to contend every week instead of their ability to win.

After months of struggling, Finau is finally rounding back into form. He finished fourth at Colonial where he gained 7.4 strokes tee to green, and he finished second in Canada last week where he gained 11.8 strokes tee to green. Finau’s driver is working again and that will be critical this week at The Country Club.

You will probably hear this 100 times throughout the week, but Fitzpatrick won the 2013 US Amateur here in 2013. While I’m not putting much into that, it certainly doesn’t hurt. He has always talked about playing his best on firm and fast golf courses and barring any rain, that’s what we can expect this week. He’s added distance off the tee this year, he has gained strokes on approach in 11 straight events, and he has one of the best short games on the PGA TOUR.

Again, they don’t need to win in order to win this bet. We just need one to finish highest on the leaderboard if we take out Rahm, Rory, JT, Scheffler and Schauffele.

Gooch, Bradley, Riley and Harman — Make the Cut (+500)

Rob Bolton: I dig how FanDuel reformatted its Golf Specials board. It’s more inviting because it’s easier to read, so check it out if you haven’t already. However, given that this is the US Open, as much as I’d like to lean into a Top-5/10/20 combo, I’m retreating into a standard make-the-cut offering at DraftKings.

While the value of the kickback reflects the 4-for-4 requirement, it also respects the depth of the field. I’d take all these guys individually, anyway, as each presents cause for at worst a top-40 finish. So, do yourself a solid and push in more than one unit on this parlay.

Going back five starts in stroke-play competition for each, they’re a combined 18-for-20. Furthermore, Gooch (4-for-5) has made the weekend in four straight majors, it’s a regional home game for Bradley (5-for-5), Riley is on a tear (his 5-for-5, including a T13). at Southern Hills) and Harman (4-for-5) has made the cut in four straight US Opens.

Patrick Cantlay +2500

Landon Silinsky: In four career US Open starts Cantlay has yet to miss a cut, and boasts a pair of top-20 finishes. His lack of success at majors is truly an enigma because he’s truly one of the most talented golfers on the planet and has virtually no weaknesses in his game. He’s good both on and around the greens to go along with his elite ball-striking him, which is pretty rare. He unsurprisingly sits fourth in this field in Total Strokes gained over his past 48 rounds.

We know Cantlay does some of his best work on shorter tracks, evidenced best by his success at Sherwood, TPC Summerlin and Harbourtown. This week we get a 7,200 yard par 70 and I’m expecting big things from the fourth ranked player in the world. He should also be quite comfortable with these poa greens, being a California native.

This could very well be the week Cantlay captures that elusive first career major, and I won’t be missing out.

Xander Schauffele +2200

Bryan Berryman: Everything seems to be aligning for Xander Schauffele this week in Brookline.

We have a great player who is coming in with excellent form, to a tournament format he’s had particularly great success in during his career. In his five career US Open starts, Schauffele has seventh, sixth, fifth, fifth and third. He’s never finished outside of the top 10, which is incredible given the difficulty of courses presented by the USGA and strength of these fields.

Over the last 24 rounds, Xander ranks eighth in this field in Strokes Gained: Approach and 18th in Fairways Gained, while also ranking inside the top 25 in both Bogeys Avoided and Birdies or Better Gained. This lethal ball-striking and scoring combination should be a perfect fit for what The Country Club will demand from players this week, and it checks every box I am looking for in a winner.

Schauffele currently sits atop the list of best golfers in the world without a major-championship win. His complete game from tee to green is tailor made for major championships and should put him in contention down the stretch again this week. I believe this is the time for Schauffele to remove his name from that aforementioned list.

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