What the Fed’s biggest rate hike in decades means for the bear market in bonds

Historically bad. That’s how the $53 trillion US fixed-income market has performed this year as the Federal Reserve works to curtail high inflation threatening to wreck the economy. To turbo charge the effort, the Fed on Wednesday fired off its biggest benchmark interest rate increase in nearly thirty years. But what does that mean for … Read more

This asset class with an 8% yield can withstand a great deal more pain, fund manager says

Few assets have been safe this year from the pummeling in financial markets, and junk bonds have also been rather, well, trashy. Year-to-date, the SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF JNK, +0.24% has lost 16%, in what is almost certainly going to be the worst performance since the 2008 financial crisis. Its spread to Treasurys … Read more

Bitcoin crash: These three metrics show how bad the carnage is, and what to expect next

Hello! Welcome back to Distributed Ledger, our weekly crypto newsletter that reaches your inbox every Thursday. I’ll walk you through what’s going on in the current bear market. As usual, find me on Twitter at @FrancesYue_ to send feedback, or tell us what you think we should cover. You can also reach me through email … Read more

From Great Resignation to Forced Resignation: Tech companies are shifting to layoffs after a huge ramp up in hiring

The Great Resignation is pivoting to a Forced Resignation. Thousands of layoffs in the tech sector, compounded by hiring freezes and a slowdown in hiring, highlight the abrupt shift in fortunes over the past several months as a result of rampant inflation, fear of stagflation and recession, supply-chain interruptions, the war in Ukraine, an ailing … Read more

Strategist who nailed the recent S&P 500 top says three things are needed for a market bottom

Wariness is in order after the S&P 500’s bear-market finish and a potential 75 basis-point Fed hike just one day away. Gains for stock futures and a potential bounce are fading fast. Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson, who can count some wins after pounding the table this year over a gloomy stock setup, told clients on … Read more

Stagflation concerns mount: Americans are increasingly worried about red-hot inflation, jobs and their own deteriorating finances

Consumer inflation expectations are back at record highs, but people have no plans to slow their spending, according to a regional Federal Reserve bank survey released Monday. Households saw a 6.6% median inflation rate in the year ahead, setting a record high first set in March, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s … Read more

‘I missed the bus on Bitcoin, but now feel like my time has come. Is it time to go big or go home? I have another 25 years of a boring 9-to-5 job, and I just want out.’

Dear Quentin, I read a letter from a reader last year who was suffering from crypto FOMO, and I have been following the crypto markets ever since. I felt like I missed the bus on Bitcoin, but now feel like my time has come. Is it time to go big or go home? I have … Read more

The S&P 500 is clinging to a key support level after Friday’s meltdown, here’s what happens if that fails

Last week’s shock US inflation number continues to tear through markets, with dip buyers seemingly in hiding. Hardest hit Nasdaq-100 futures are down 3%. Investors are now focused squarely on Wednesday’s Fed outcome, with expectations the central bank may need to do something bold, driving even more anxiety out there. The aftermath of Wall Street’s … Read more

Stanley Druckenmiller fears a recession but isn’t betting against stocks. Here’s why.

Sometimes, it’s hard getting workers of a certain generation to do much of anything at all. Here’s one: “Currently, I’m going in every day, and I’m looking at my screen, but I’m pretty much taking a break.” Granted, that’s not a woke 20-something but Stanley Druckenmiller, the 68-year-old investing legend who runs the Duquesne Family … Read more

Ethereum close to its major upgrade, but why has it fallen more than bitcoin?

Hello! Welcome back to Distributed Ledger, our weekly crypto newsletter that reaches your inbox every Thursday. I’m writing it in the heat of Austin, TX, where Consensus, a multi-day crypto conference kicked off today. As usual, find me on Twitter at @FrancesYue_ to send feedback, or tell us what you think we should cover. Crypto … Read more